Reports

Scenario exports · evaluation reports · data pipeline health · AmSC publish
7 sources healthy1 warn
Data Pipeline Health · R-R-R Tiers
healthy
warn
error
SourceTierEndpointFrequencyLast RefreshHealthNote
USGS Mineral Commodity SummariesR · RawOSTI + directAnnualJan 2026MCS 2026 ingested, 2025 baseline confirmed
UN Comtrade (HS 2846.xx)R · RawComtrade APIMonthlyFeb 202612-month rolling bilateral flows
MOFCOM AnnouncementsR · RawNLP scraperDailyToday3 new entries in last 24h
SMM Price FeedRR · ResolvedAPIDailyTodayNd, Pr, Dy, Tb, Ce oxides
GLEIF LEI DatabaseRR · ResolvedGLEIF APIWeeklyMar 22 2026Ownership chain resolver up-to-date
S&P CapIQ (Cobalt/Li)RR · ResolvedAPIWeeklyMar 24 2026Rate limit hit — retry queued
BEA I-O Table (2022)RRR · ReadyStatic cacheQuinquennialNov 2024ATHENA demand model basis
JOGMEC Facility SurveysRRR · ReadyManual uploadAd hocDec 2025Japan REE facility audit
Scenario Exports4 ready
#012AmSC
REE / NdFeBExport restriction
PDFJSON
#011
REE / NdFeBQuota (60%)
PDFJSON
#010
CobaltPhysical disruption
PDF
#008AmSC
REE / NdFeBLicense suspension
PDFJSON
Backtest AccuracySR impact forecasts vs. realised
NdFeB China export restriction — Apr 2023 backtest
MAE 0.04RMSE 0.06bias +0.016m
A
Cobalt DRC disruption — Q3 2022 backtest
MAE 0.06RMSE 0.09bias -0.023m
B+
Gallium/Germanium export ban — Aug 2023 forward test
MAE 0.08RMSE 0.11bias +0.0312m
B
REE quota tightening — Nov 2023 backtest
MAE 0.05RMSE 0.07bias 0.006m
A-

Ablation results and full methodology in docs · Eval suite expands with Phase II materials.

System Summary
Pipeline sources
8
Sources healthy
7
Active material
REE / NdFeB
Phase
I
Scenarios total
13
AmSC exports
2
Avg backtest MAE
0.058
Eval grade
B+