Signals

Export controls · trade agreements · restriction probability
15 export bans3 licensing regimes

Source: USGS MCS 2026 Table 4. Data current through November 2025. 19 active export controls across 19 countries.

USGS MCS 2026 T4 · effective Jan 2026
CountryControl TypeCommodities (year enacted)Source
AngolaExport banQuartz and gypsum (2024).↗ source
ArmeniaTemporary export banMetal waste and scrap (2025).↗ source
BotswanaExport banRaw diamonds (2025).↗ source
ChinaExport licensing requirement for materials and technologiesAntimony (2024), bismuth (2025), synthesized diamond (2025), gallium (2023), germanium (2023), graphite (2023), indium (2025), magnesium materials (2024), molybdenum (2025), rare earths (2025), silver (2026), tellurium (2025), tungsten (2025), and items related to lithium batteries and artificial graphite anode materials (2025).↗ source
Congo (Kinshasa)Export quotaCobalt (2025).↗ source
IndonesiaExport banBauxite (2023), copper concentrates (2023), and nickel ore (2020).↗ source
KyrgyzstanTemporary export banFerrous ingot and ferrous metal waste and scrap (2023) and catalysts and waste containing precious metals (2025).↗ source
LaosExport banRaw minerals, including copper, gold, iron, nickel, potassium, silver, and zinc (2024).↗ source
MalaysiaExport banRaw rare earths (2024).↗ source
MoroccoExport licensing requirementCopper (refined and alloys) and aluminum ingots (2025).↗ source
NamibiaExport banOres and concentrates of cobalt, graphite, lithium, manganese, and rare earths (2023).↗ source
RussiaExport banSteel waste and scrap, tungsten scrap, and enriched uranium (2022).↗ source
South AfricaExport licensing requirementChromite ore (2025).↗ source
TajikistanExport banMetal waste and scrap (2020).↗ source
TanzaniaExport banOre concentrates of copper, gold, nickel, and silver (2017).↗ source
ThailandExport banNatural sand (2023).↗ source
VenezuelaExport banBauxite, cassiterite, columbite-tantalite, copper, gold, rhodium, silver, and thorium (2024).↗ source
VietnamExport banRaw materials of iron, lead-zinc, chromite, manganese, apatite, and rare earths and deeply processed titanium (2012).↗ source
ZimbabweExport banLithium ore (2022).↗ source