Scenarios

Specify a shock · propagate through the material graph · receive H / C / L supply envelopes

12 runs this week

1 · Shock Specification

Material

Country

Mechanism

Shock Strength75%

0% — no disruption100% — total ban

2 · Demand ParametersShort-run price elasticities by end-use segment

EV / Mobilityε = -0.24

Wind Energyε = -0.36

Defenseε = -0.12

Industrialε = -0.44

Substitution Horizon

Elasticities from Hao et al. 2024 NdFeB playbook (TRL-4). Substitution paths calibrated for EV / defense segments.

3 · Run ScenarioGenerates H / C / L supply envelopes · SR per node · rerouting feasibility